Does Vermont’s Pre-K Program Obscure the True Cost of K–12 Education?

Does Vermont’s Pre-K Program Obscure the True Cost of K–12 Education?

As Vermont lawmakers prepare to dramatically restructure the education system through H.454—a bill that could consolidate school districts and shift how education is governed—there’s one number they haven’t fully confronted: what it really costs to educate a full-time K–12 student. Before they open this Pandora’s box, taxpayers deserve accurate numbers.

For years, Vermont’s public education system has been facing a quiet math problem: fewer students, more spending. As K–12 enrollment steadily declined, school budgets kept rising. That tension—shrinking headcount against growing expense—should have triggered alarm. But instead, the state’s reported “per-pupil spending” appeared relatively stable.

How?

In 2014, Vermont passed Act 166, creating universal access to publicly funded Pre-K. By 2016, it was fully implemented, offering up to 10 hours per week for 3- and 4-year-olds. It also added thousands of part-time preschoolers to the student rolls—counted right alongside full-time K–12 students when calculating average spending.

K–12 Enrollment Drops, But Total Headcount Rises

From 2010 to 2023, Vermont’s K–12 student population declined steadily, dipping below 83,000 by 2023. Meanwhile, Pre-K enrollment surged under Act 166:

YearPre-K Enrollment
20156,214
20167,301
20178,115
20188,598
20198,807
20207,745 (COVID dip)
20217,483
20228,277
20238,355

By 2023, Vermont’s education system reported roughly 91,000 students—but over 8,300 of those were preschoolers, most of whom attend just 10 hours per week. When the state divides its education budget by that full number, it creates the illusion of efficiency.

What the Numbers Really Show

Take FY2023, for example:

  • Total Pre-K–12 spending: $2.216 billion
  • Total reported students (Pre-K–12): ~91,000
  • Reported per-pupil cost: ~$24,350

But subtract out the Pre-K students and the costs dedicated to them—roughly $32–40 million in tuition reimbursements and grants—and the math changes:

  • K–12-only budget: ≈ $2.176 billion
  • K–12-only students: ~83,000
  • Actual per-student cost: ~$26,200

That’s nearly $2,000 more per student than the figure most often cited.

And that’s not even the full picture.

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The Hidden Costs of Shared Pre-K Services

Many Pre-K classrooms operate inside public elementary schools, drawing on K–12 resources: administrative time, custodial work, maintenance, building costs, even shared transportation. These costs are rarely broken out, but they don’t disappear just because a program serves younger children.

Education analysts argue that these embedded costs—though hard to isolate—exert real upward pressure on K–12 budgets while being absorbed silently into the system.

Do Preschoolers Really Add to School Costs?

Some Vermonters wonder: if a school already has empty classrooms, what’s the harm in adding Pre-K? Doesn’t it just fill space that’s already there?

Partly, yes—but not entirely.

Even when using existing buildings, Pre-K brings real costs:

  • New staff (teachers, aides, substitutes, benefits)
  • Admin time from principals and coordinators
  • Transportation adjustments
  • Custodial and maintenance work
  • Child-sized furniture, learning materials, safety compliance
  • Nutrition services for snacks or lunches
  • Licensing and early ed program oversight

Many of these expenses don’t show up under a “Pre-K” line—they’re paid out of general district budgets, often lumped in with K–12 costs.

Yet when the state divides total spending by the number of students, those preschoolers count the same as full-time high schoolers. That’s how part-time kids drinking juice and eating toast can pull down the average cost per student.

Bottom line: Pre-K may be small and part-time—but its inclusion in Vermont’s per-pupil math helps mask the true cost of educating full-time K–12 students.

So Why Does It Matter?

Vermont now spends more than $26,000 per actual K–12 student—a figure that rises even higher when embedded Pre-K costs are fully accounted for. That’s well above the national average of ~$14,000 and higher than many private schools in New England.

And yet, public discussion continues to rely on the diluted $24K figure. That makes it harder for taxpayers, school boards, and lawmakers to evaluate whether Vermont’s education system is delivering value—or just absorbing cost.

The Takeaway

This isn’t about being against Pre-K. Early education access matters to many families. But when part-time Pre-K students are counted like full-time learners, the numbers stop reflecting reality.

This isn’t just about math. With H.454 on the table, the legislature and the governor are poised to rewire the entire system. But if the foundation is built on misleading averages—folding in part-time preschoolers to mask real K–12 costs—then the reforms risk being both misguided and mistrusted. Before we redesign public education, we need to see it clearly.

It’s time Vermont separated these systems when calculating cost per student. That clarity won’t solve the school budget problem—but it will finally make it visible.

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Dave Soulia | FYIVT

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2 responses to “Does Vermont’s Pre-K Program Obscure the True Cost of K–12 Education?”

  1. H. Jay Eshelman Avatar
    H. Jay Eshelman

    Re: “And that’s not even the full picture.” Ya think?

    According to the Vermont Agency of Educations (AOE) FY25 Budget Book, there are 72,093 K thru 12th grade students, 7,843 Pre-K and Early Ed. students, and 348 students in high school completion programs, totaling 80,284 students in publicly funded school programs.

    https://ljfo.vermont.gov/assets/Uploads/7a070a013a/WHeather-BoucheyAOE-FY25-Budget-Book2-20-2024-v2.pdf

    There are 3,541 students tuitioned to independent schools and 725 students tuitioned to out-of-state schools. According to the AOE, tuitioned elementary students (K-6th grades) receive a $19,120 voucher. Tuitioned high school students (7th – 12th grades) receive a $20,910 voucher.

    This AOE report also states that, “The Agency provides critical leadership, support, and oversight to a $ 2.7 billion education system with an operating budget of just over $ 55.7 million and 176 positions.”

    Again, that’s a $2.7 billion annual budget reported by the AOE, not the $2.216 billion reported by the National Institute for Early Education Research

    The Math:
    The total annual education budget of $2.7 billion divided by 80,284 students equals $33,630 per student. Let that sink in for a minute. It gets worse.

    Of those 80,284 students, 4,266 receive tuition vouchers to attend independent schools. Therefore, there are 76,018 students in public Pre-K thru 12th grade programs. And of those 76,018 students, 7,843 are enrolled in part-time Pre-K and Early Education programs, leaving only 68,175 students in K thru 12th grades.

    Furthermore: Pre-K programs in my Windham Northeast Supervisory Union were budgeted at approximately $4,000 per student for FY25. And the vast majority of Pre-K services are tuitioned to independent providers too. So, if we remove the 7,843 Pre-K students from the mix, at $4,000 per student ($31.372 million) we’re left with a total K-12th grade expenditure of $2.668 million… or… hope you’re sitting down – $39,143 per student annually.

    Then, if we remove the 4,266 tuitioned students from the 68,175 K – 12th grade public and independent school enrollments, at the maximum $20,910 voucher for high school cost, we are left with 63,909 K-12th grade students in Vermont’s public schools with a remaining total budget expenditure of $2.668 billion, less $89.202 million, for a total annual expenditure of $2.578 billion for those 63,909 actual students in a Vermont public school.

    Get out the Xanex. That’s $40,351 per student.

    How does the AOE obfuscate these costs? The primary culprit is the so-called weighted or equalized enrollment algorithm that counts some students as being more than one person – because, ostensibly, some students are more expensive to educate than others. But $40,351 per student? Does anyone else want to buy a swamp?

    In the final analysis, consider again the AOE’s independent school maximum $20,910 tuition voucher for students attending independent schools. Compare that to the $40,351 per student cost in a Vermont public-school building program. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see that if every student currently in a public school instead chose to attend an independent school, Vermont taxpayers would save $1.242 billion.

    Is it really that cut and dry? IMHO, yes, it is just that simple. No, we haven’t considered the costs of special education in the mix. But students who choose to attend independent schools are less likely to be coded as learning disabled, which explains why public-school administrators resist School Choice.

    Lastly, consider that the AOE employes approximately 20,000 people, not counting subcontracted education services in the independent schools. That’s a student-to-staff ratio of 3.19 staff per student. And all of those staff receive generous pay and guaranteed benefit retirement packages. Not to mention the 34,000 retired educators in Vermont already receiving benefits.

    This is a lot to digest, I know. And I welcome calculated scrutiny.

  2. H. Jay Eshelman Avatar
    H. Jay Eshelman

    Correction: ” That’s a student-to-staff ratio of 3.19 staff per student.” should say: “That’s a student-to-staff ratio of 3.19 students per staff.”

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